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Sep 242016
 

Folks Aunt Bee, A.K.A. Janet Yellen, loved her freshly baked Blueberry Pie! It was very sweet and full of starch and calories! Just how the markets love it! But too much of a sweet thing; -in this case over 8 years, can wreck havoc when it comes time to get a physical check-up! We are currently in a market that is controlled globally by Central Banks. We all know how this musical dance will end; -very unpleasantly for those stuck without a chair to sit in when the last note is played! For our members, we will take a agnostic approach really not caring for bullish nor bearish action. We follow where prices want to go and take profits when the directional bias proves us correct. Following price action is a higher probability trade than trying to guess where price action will go, especially in these markets where we have days of “good news is bad news” type of thing…here is my current take on this past week’s price movement given the BoJ and the FOMC’s Policy Statements;


Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Sep 172016
 

Hey Folks, even though this week felt rather bearish, the actual numbers and price action gave us higher close than where we started. And we are clearly in a “Bad News” is “Good News” economic environment; –one in which I am sure you are all too familiar! Now it is the FOMC and Janet Yellen’s turn to offer up their prescription for what ails the markets…The markets currently price in around a 20% probability of a rate hike this coming Wednesday and a 50%+ chance of a rate hike before the end of this year. I believe her press statement will be most important because it will be here that she can send a signal to the markets of where the FEDs will go from here; Dovish vs Bearish statements will drive price action. Get my take on the current markets in my weekly round-up below:


Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Sep 112016
 

Hey Folks, I am now back in the US from my European Tour. I met a lot of great people and had fun as I always do when I visit folks all across Europe. Looking at the financial markets I have identified a few key price levels that we must closely watch as we approach and more thru the Bank of Japan and the FOMC Policy Statements coming up on Sept 20th and 21st. Will we continue our momentum to the downside from Friday’s large move lower, will volatility continue to move higher and what can we expect? You can get my take here in this week’s market round-up;


Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Aug 272016
 

Well, the ending to this week was capped off by some of the worst communication strategy I have seen from the FEDs…Aunt Bee [A.K.A. Janet Yellen] spoke from the Fed’s Anal Symposium (sorry, I meant to say the Annual Symposium) from Jackson Hole WY (appropriately named of course!)…she started talking at 10 AM EST (and a transcript of her speech was released as she started) and the market price action seemed to say, “OK, we can prep for one rate hike; –and the idea of a very slow and cautious glide path for future rate hikes makes sense”…so price action turned more bullish and volatility actually came down some…then, no sooner had she finished her talk when “The Boys” from the FED, like J. Bullard came out on the press circuit and said, we can see not one, but TWO! rate hikes in 2016! Now price action of course reacted very poorly to this concept and the outcome was predictable; -bonds lower, USD higher and Gold; –well it was a bit confused…Volatility also shot right back up as well….So in summary here, the FED communication strategy needs an attitude adjustment! Here is my take on the markets below:


Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Aug 202016
 

Hey Folks, as we enter into the middle of August we still see over 6 weeks in a row of green candles showing the surprising strength of this market; –but not surprising to us as we could see the market action moving higher according to our chart and price action. Now what? I do see some near term weakness in the markets so check out this weekly update to get my take;


Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Aug 132016
 

Hello everyone, I hope you are enjoying your weekend as we move into the middle of August, the traditional weaker time for the S&P 500 price action. Thus far, we are moving according to our initial price target of 2200, even if it is a grind! And yes, I agree this upward appears most illogical compared to a lot of the US Economic data I have been reading…but as we have said here time and time again, prices will move towards the path of least resistance and thus far, that appears to be higher. How much higher can we go? Get my take on the markets in this video below;


Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb