Wkly Market Round-Up thru July 13th 2018; Joker’s Wild!

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Jul 142018
 

Hey Everyone, I hope your weekend is going well for you.

Joker’s Wild is how I feel the current markets are for most traders. Whose the Joker? Trump of course and his tweets can take a bullish day and quickly turn it into a very bearish day; or vice versa! The markets are in a reactionary mode to almost all of his tweets as it relates to trade tariffs. The markets affected by his Tweets are most all sectors and the Energy Complex. We’ve seen Oil make wide swings both to the upside and to the downside, more so than I’ve seen in over a decade. Now that we know the Joker’s in the card deck, how do we play it? Check out my current take on this week’s Weekly Round-Up in the video.

 

Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Wkly Market Round-Up thru July 7th 2018; The Fuse is lit!

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Jul 072018
 

Hey folks, we had the “unofficial official” kick-off the trade tariff fight with US putting on more than 34 billion in tariffs on China and China firing back with their own set of equal tariffs on the US. Trump has stated that he has asked his team to identify another possible $200 billion in tariffs and of course we can expect something similar from China. Now, where will all of this go? Not sure but it is clear it is keeping a lid on the overall market performance. And now we are going into Q2 Earnings season with a forecast of over 19.5% EPS growth. Very Strong! Get my take on current price action in this week’s Weekly Round-Up.

 

Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Wkly Market Round-Up thru June 29th 2018; “Danger Will Robinson!”

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Jun 302018
 

Hey Folks, how many of you remember the old “Lost in Space” TV series where every week the crew faced life threatening monsters, aliens and even robots, that tried to kill them; only to see the crew survive at the end of the show and live to face another new threat the next week! Well, this is what we’re facing in this current market environment; –will we see the Trump Admin impose Trade Tariff’s on China this coming Friday, July 6th, or will they be postponed? And all of this in a US holiday shortened week. This one event could define the markets for the next few months. To me this is a Lost in Space moment for the markets and I have been getting our members hedged for the past few weeks just in case…get my take in this week’s Weekly Round-Up

 

Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Wkly Market Round-Up thru June 22nd, 2018; Yes we will; No we won’t!

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Jun 232018
 

How will this trade war tiff work out between the US, China, Mexico, Europe, Canada, well, most all others…nobody really knows how this will play out but we have a key date approaching where we may find out — on July 6th; –this is when Trump officially places an import tax on about 50 billion in Chinese Goods. If this is done, we can expect the same from China. And even though this amounts to a very small percentage of trade currently conducted with the US it has the makings of a much larger effort for expansion to other products. And this is only regarding China. We have other countries we are also playing hard ball with as well. Keep in mind the markets are very good at pricing in risk; -building forward risk models into current day asset prices. But markets have a great deal of difficulty pricing in uncertainty. And thus far, most trade tariff taxes and the ramifications have not been priced into the current market prices under the assumption both sides will work out a last minute face saving deal where all sides can claim a victory. This time it could be different. Get my take on the current markets in this week’s Weekly Round-up Video.

 

Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hpb

Wkly Market Round-Up thru June 15th 2018; Tug-O-War Continues

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Jun 162018
 

Hey Folks, this massive TUG-O-War continues between the bulls and the bears for US Equities! On the Bull side we see record Corporate profits, very strong US GDP numbers with Q2 Forecast to come in over 3% and very strong Consumer Sentiment and Spending! For the Bears we have lurking a ton of Geo-Political risks around possible Trade Tariffs, Euro Skeptic Politicians across Europe and rising interest rates as the US Feds continue to wind down the US balance sheet…so we have a ton of push-pull scenarios that are currently playing out across Global Markets! Get my take on current price action in this week’s Weekly Round-Up in the video.

 

Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader – Trade Smart !!
hpb

Wkly Market Round-Up thru June 8th 2018; Lions, Tigers and Bears, Oh-My!

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Jun 092018
 

Hey Folks, the markets finished up nicely this week with the NASDAQ and the Russell making new all time highs! And while the DOW had been lagging somewhat this year it was the best performer this week finishing up about 2.8%! And this is with a back-drop of increasing Global uncertainties around Emerging Market implosions; from S. Africa, to Turkey and Brazil and turmoil in the European Union with Italy and Spain…there is plenty to worry about, yet the markets are climbing this wall of worry. In this week’s update I review key factors around the current market price action and where I see near term direction;

 

Don’t Be A Rat Brain Trader — Trade Smart !!
hbp